Changelog #146

Shell Classic's value surge was initially justified due to active hoarding by whales like Voidy, who helped inflate the demand. However, the market dynamics have clearly shifted, realistically now we're seeing more Shell holders desparate to offload their stacks than genuine buyers stepping in. Currently only 2 "hoarders" are claiming to give 8m per Shell: The first one(.yes.) is a broke "trading expert" that claims Parisian to be 9m, who claims to be restocking his inv for Shells and lf loans, and whose offers for Shell consist on low tier items such as Jacks, Cobras, Stormriders, Hypers lvl2, Obtainables ; The second one (_xcc.c) is even more broke and doesn't even bother masking the joke, offering "two nights with him" for a Shell Stack, clearly not a legitimate valuation. The only people still pushing for Shell to rise are holders looking for a final exit pump before they cash out. Every upvote on Shell related suggestions seems to come from self interested Shell investors, not neutral traders. The market no longer supports the inflated demand and value, it's time to stop the manipulation and let Shell return to its natural price range. Keeping it overvalued benefits a few, but hurts the market's integrity as a whole. For all these reasons "Projected" perfectly defines Shell’s current situation. The hype is gone, buyers are fake or broke, and sellers are flooding the market. Hopefully we can see it stable again soon, without manipulation propping it up.

Circuit Board Weapon Skin has 75 monthly uniques, ranking as the fourth rarest seasonal item, and is attracting attention from hoarders. Its current price of 1.25M undervalues its demand and rarity. Raising it to 1.5M, in line with Flaming Weapon Skin, would be a very fair and justified suggestion.

Common Trades:

1. Flaming (Weapon Skin) for Circuit board (Weapon skin)

2. Digital Confetti (Weapon Skin) for Circuit board (Weapon Skin)

3. Any 1.5m for Circuit board (Weapon Skin)

Shell is not rare, and calling it “extremely rare” is just foolish. Discord is absolutely flooded with Shells. Scroll through any trading server and you’ll see tons of them being listed constantly. For each lobby in island, there is at least one person trading it, and sometimes even for a good price. A hoarder himself, (.yes.), literally said “Just put LF Shell in your tag and you can find for cheap.” That alone proves it’s not “almost impossible to get without overpaying.” Sure, it might still pull small overpays because of recent hype, but that doesn’t make it rare nor impossible to get for fair. That just means a few people are still riding the wave, but what they ignore is that the tide is about to kiss the shore. When you look at the supply, availability, and how easy it is to find one, it’s obvious. All these sum up to what I mentioned in my Shell trend suggestion. Shell is everywhere and its hype is dying.

Circuit Board Weapon Skin has 75 monthly uniques, making it the fourth rarest seasonal item, and is attracting attention from hoarders. Shifting it from a stable trend to hoarded would be a very fair and justified suggestion, just like Flaming Weapon Skin with 76 monthly uniques.

Common Trades:

1. Flaming (Weapon Skin) for Circuit Board (Weapon Skin)

2. Digital Confetti (Weapon Skin) for Circuit Board (Weapon Skin)

While Shell is technically still labelled as a "high demand" item, the current market behavior suggests otherwise. The number of sellers clearly outweighs the number of serious buyers, which contradicts what you'd typically expect from a genuinely high demand item. In theory, such items should have more people actively looking to acquire them, not unload them. Right now, Shell is experiencing a noticeable dump. The majority of people still engaging with the item aren't doing so out of a desire to hold or collect it, but rather because they see an opportunity to flip it for a quick profit, if they can get it cheaply enough. This transactional approach highlights that interest in Shell is driven by potential resale margins, not genuine demand. Given this, the label "high demand" no longer accurately reflects Shell's position in the market. A more fitting description would be "decent" since it acknowledges that the item isn't entirely dead, but it also reflects the reality that interest is modest and highly subjective. This change would better align the label with the current trading environment and buyer behavior.

Super Star Rug is doing really solid right now in trading. With only 66 monthly uniques, it’s already considered rare, and demand has been steady. Currently, it’s priced around 750k, but given its rarity and the recent trades, I believe a value of 1M is a very fair and justified suggestion.

Common Trades:

1. Any 750k Furniture + Small for Super Star Rug

2. Arcade Portal for Super Star Rug

3. Foosball Table for Super Star Rug

Cobra’s stabilized at 2.5m. Arguably it’s mellowed out. Its demand is still low because wedge is crawling out of the pits, but its stable now. We can stop acting like people are scared of it. You cant tell me people hate this more than concept.

yea vro ts is an outdated value, NOBODY on earth is actually paying the full 17.5M for D spinners rn, Spinners are getting HEAVILY avoided and lowballed as of now because they have had a HUGE drop in demand, Nobody really wants clean spinners rn and ESPECIALLY dont want dupe spinners, For these reasons (D) Spinners should be dropped to 17M.

Common trades:

(D) Spinner -> Crew Capsule + Radiant ice

(D) Spinner -> 4x4 +#### carb + JDM

(D) Spinners -> Red 3 + Aperture

Blackbeard is doing bad nowadays. Low demand and kinda avoided, a bit better than Longhorn, but worse than Revox. Nobody wants it, BB owners usually overpaying to upgrades. Even stacks struggles to gets base. In trades asked to be replaced (if possible).

Common trades:

Blackbeard -> Revox

x2 Blackbeard -> Iceborn / other 3M unobt car

you cant tell me with a straight face that blackbeard ISN'T being avoided right now, Its doing terrible in demand and NOBODY is interested in it at this point of time. People often ask for it to be replaced with Stormrider or another 1.75M item 95% of the time, For this reason Blackbeard should be given this note

okay lets be real, You dont see a sloop every day on the island, If your actively looking for it, It can be a pain in the ### to find. And collectors know this, Collectors will actually pay full base price for sloop because of its rarity and its kind of a collectors item, But otherwise from the actual AVERAGE trader their just not going to be interested in Sloop. For these reasons sloop should be given this note. :3

dont tell me with a straight face tiki torch only "CAN" get more from collectors, Saying Tiki Torch "CAN" get more from implies it only SOMETIMES does. Tiki torch DOES get more from collectors/ its consistently valued at 3M in trades upgrading or downgrading. For these reasons Tiki Torch should be given this note.